Cricket is one of the most popular sports, with millions of spectators all over the world. A great portion of those likes to gamble on matches and follow cricket predictions. But how accurate are the predictions, and how are they made?
Before you understand cricket predictions, it’s important to better understand cricket odds, which are calculated differently from probability. To make the most money when betting, you need to bet on those outcomes with better odds. That is, a higher probability of happening.
Accurate cricket predictions are calculated using a mathematical algorithm that has proven to be true for the most part. For example, if you wanted to know the prediction for today’s match, you would need to feed the formula all the variables it requires and you would have the answer. The specific algorithm used changes based on different predictors, but the basic calculation is known as WASP.
Based on extensive mathematical research from the University of Canterbury (New Zealand) in the 2010s, this is the most widely used algorithm used to calculate cricket match predictions. WASP stands for Winning and Score Predictor. Without getting into the complex mathematics of the algorithm, the following is the simplest explanation of WASP:
The program aggregates all data from past matches and calculates the odds of runs and wickets. Based on the results of these calculations, the probability of total runs and even winning can be worked out.
You may be wondering what kind of data is collected when making predictions about cricket matches. Not only are the results recorded (i.e. runs, wickets, wins, losses, etc.), various other factors that impact the match are part of the algorithm. Here are a few factors that make up part of the logic of a typical cricket predictor:
Of course, there are many more factors and variables that are included in the logic of a cricket predictor algorithm, but the aforementioned factors are more commonly used.In order to predict outcomes more precisely, algorithms need to take into account more and more data.
If you don’t want to bother yourself with the mathematics of it all, it’s best to base your bets on a reliable predictor. The best cricket prediction website I’ve found online is thetopbookies.com. I’ve found that their calculations are more accurate when compared to other websites.